Potential Playoff Based on BCS Formula (2016 Week 3)

The Playoff below is based on last years rules for BCS Bowl Game inclusion.  It takes into consideration teams outside of the P5 if they are ranked in the top 12 or top 16 (if that is higher than any P5 Conference Champion).  Notre Dame would also be excluded because they are not in the top 8.  As it turns out, if we finished the season today, the top 8 teams would include the current 1st place team from the P5 Conferences and 3 at large teams.  

BIG: (2) Ohio St, (4) Michigan, (6) Wisconsin

ACC: (3) Clemson, (5) Louisville

SEC:  (1) Alabama

Pac 12:  (7) Washington

I am making an assumption that if there were a committee that was seeding teams they would consider if any of the included teams had played in the past.  In this case I swapped Michigan for Clemson so that we don't have to watch a rematch.  I picked these two instead of Louisville / Wisconsin because there are only .004 points difference between the two vs Louisville at almost a full point.

(1) Alabama

(8) Western Michigan

(3) Clemson

(7) Wisconson

(4) Michigan

(5) Louisville

(2) Ohio St

(7) Washington

Full Rankings below..

BCS Rank Team  WL BCS USA AP Comp  USA USA Points USA Total  AP AP Points AP Total Comp Avg  AND  BIL  COL  MAS  SAG  WOL 1 Alabama           10-0 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1 1575 1575 1 1525 1525 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 2 Ohio St           9-1 0.954 0.949 0.954 0.960 2 1495 1575 2 1455 1525 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 3 Michigan 9-1 0.868 0.846 0.868 0.890 4 1332 1575 4 1323 1525 22.25 22 21 22 23 23 22 4 Clemson           9-1 0.864 0.837 0.855 0.900 5 1318 1575 5 1304 1525 22.5 23 23 23 20 21 23 5 Louisville        9-1 0.857 0.900 0.890 0.780 3 1418 1575 3 1357 1525 19.5 21 19 19 18 22 19 6 Wisconsin         8-2 0.786 0.782 0.796 0.780 6 1231 1575 6 1214 1525 19.5 20 20 18 21 18 20 7 Washington 9-1 0.773 0.756 0.754 0.810 7 1190 1575 7 1150 1525 20.25 18 22 17 22 20 21 8 Oklahoma 8-2 0.609 0.728 0.698 0.400 8 1147 1575 8 1064 1525 10 7 17 8 9 16 6 9 Penn St           8-2 0.603 0.586 0.603 0.620 10 923 1575 10 920 1525 15.5 19 10 21 15 9 18 10 West Virginia     8-1 0.554 0.631 0.630 0.400 9 994 1575 9 961 1525 10 13 9 15 6 7 11 11 Colorado 8-2 0.510 0.547 0.523 0.460 12 861 1575 12 797 1525 11.5 10 4 10 17 12 14 12 Utah 8-2 0.459 0.577 0.529 0.270 11 909 1575 11 807 1525 6.75 6 7 7 11 0 7 13 USC               7-3 0.408 0.300 0.383 0.540 19 473 1575 15 584 1525 13.5 11 13 12 19 14 15 14 Western Mich 10-0 0.406 0.274 0.416 0.530 21 431 1575 14 634 1525 13.25 17 18 16 8 4 12 15 Nebraska          8-2 0.395 0.343 0.330 0.510 17 541 1575 19 504 1525 12.75 16 16 14 5 0 16 16 Florida St 7-3 0.393 0.355 0.373 0.450 15 559 1575 17 569 1525 11.25 12 14 5 12 11 10 17 LSU               6-3 0.359 0.363 0.382 0.333 14 572 1575 16 582 1525 8.333333 0 5 16 19 4 18 Washington St     8-2 0.352 0.278 0.329 0.450 20 438 1575 20 501 1525 11.25 4 15 9 13 15 8 19 Auburn            7-3 0.343 0.344 0.356 0.330 16 542 1575 18 543 1525 8.25 9 0 11 10 17 3 20 Oklahoma St       8-2 0.315 0.473 0.432 0.040 13 745 1575 13 659 1525 1 0 11 2 0 1 21 Florida 7-2 0.262 0.342 0.285 0.160 18 538 1575 21 435 1525 4 8 8 4 0 3 1 22 Boise St 9-1 0.257 0.225 0.207 0.340 23 355 1575 22 315 1525 8.5 15 2 20 4 0 13 23 Texas A&M         7-3 0.212 0.251 0.156 0.230 22 396 1575 23 238 1525 5.75 5 6 1 7 13 5 24 Tennessee 7-3 0.139 0.013 0.014 0.390 20 1575 21 1525 9.75 14 12 13 2 5 9 25 Miami 6-4 0.080 0.000 0.000 0.240 1575 1525 6 6 26 Stanford 0.074 0.010 0.010 0.200 16 1575 16 1525 5 3 0 14 10 2 27 Troy              8-1 0.050 0.018 0.041 0.090 28 1575 25 63 1525 2.25 0 3 6 0 0 17 28 San Diego St      9-1 0.045 0.071 0.064 0.000 25 112 1575 24 97 1525 0 0 0 0 0 29 North Carolina 0.033 0.072 0.026 0.000 24 114 1575 40 1525 0 0 0 1 0 30 Houston 0.023 0.038 0.032 0.000 60 1575 49 1525 0 0 0 0 0 31 Ole Miss 0.020 0.000 0.001 0.060 1575 2 1525 1.5 0 0 3 8 32 Navy 0.018 0.027 0.013 0.013 43 1575 20 1525 0.333333 1 0 3 0 0 33 South Florida 0.018 0.027 0.005 0.020 43 1575 8 1525 0.5 2 1 0 0 34 Virginia Tech 0.016 0.025 0.024 0.000 39 1575 36 1525 0 0 0 0 2 35 Pittsburgh 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.000 6 1575 9 1525 0 0 0 0 0 36 Arkansas 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.000 5 1575 7 1525 0 0 0 0 0 37 WKU 0.002 0.000 0.007 0.000 1575 11 1525 0 0 0 0 0 38 Iowa 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.000 1 1575 4 1525 0 0 0 0 0 39 Toledo 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 3 1575 1525 0 0 0 0 0 40 Baylor 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 2 1575 1525 0 0 0 0 0 41 Minnesota 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 1575 1 1525 0 0 0 0 0

The Coaches Poll involves 61 voters. Each voter ranks the Top 25. The #1 team on each ballot will receive 25 points, the #2 team will receive 24 points, and so on. This is why the teams in the "receiving votes" category will have point totals. The BCS takes the number of points for each team, and divides them by 1525 which is the number of points a team would have if they were ranked #1 on all the ballots. 

The AP Poll involves 63 voters. The process is the same as the Coaches Poll, except the number of points in the AP Poll for each team are divided by 1575. 

The Computer Rankings: a Top 25 is determined for each computer poll (described below). The #1 team on each ballot will receive 25 points, the #2 team will receive 24 points, and so on. The lowest and highest computer rankings for each team are thrown out. The remaining points are added together, and divided by 100, which is the number of points a team would have if they were ranked #1 on the remaining 4 computer rankings. As you would expect, the exact methodology behind specific computer polls is sometimes a guarded secret, but here's what we know about each: