Potential Playoff Based on BCS Formula (2013)

The Playoff below is based on last years rules for BCS Bowl Game inclusion.  It takes into consideration teams outside of the P5 if they are ranked in the top 12 or top 16 (if that is higher than any P5 Conference Champion).  Notre Dame would also be excluded because they are not in the top 8.  As it turns out, if we finished the season today, the top 8 teams would include the current 1st place team from the P5 Conferences and 3 at large teams.  

SEC:  (1) Alabama, (7) Mississippi St.

Pac 12:  (3) Oregon, (8) Arizona

Big 12:  (4) TCU, (6) Baylor

ACC:  (2) Florida St

BIG:  (5) Ohio St.

I am making an assumption that if there were a committee that was seeding teams they would consider if any of the included teams had played in the past.  In this case I swapped Arizona for Mississippi St so that we don't have to watch a rematch.

See below for the Top 25 in the BCS Standings.

BCS Rankings Using 2013 Formula

I put together the complete rankings using last years formula.  The only change I made was not using the Harris Poll and subbing in the Coaches Poll.  You can follow the link below if you are curious how the BCS Formula works.

BCS Rank	Team	Conf	WL	BCS	USA	AP	Comp	USA	USA Points	AP	AP Points	Comp Avg	AND	BIL	COL	MAS	SAG	WOL
1	Alabama	SEC	11-1	0.964	0.972	0.951	0.970	1	1507	1	1426	23.17	3	2	2	1	1	2
2	Florida St	ACC	12-0	0.960	0.961	0.949	0.970	2	1489	2	1423	4.17	1	1	1	4	17	1
3	Oregon	P12	11-1	0.929	0.941	0.927	0.920	3	1458	3	1391	3.17	2	3	4	2	5	3
4	TCU	B12	10-1	0.861	0.864	0.849	0.870	4	1339	4	1274	4.17	5	5	5	3	3	4
5	Ohio St	B10	11-1	0.814	0.819	0.795	0.830	6	1269	6	1192	6.17	4	4	3	8	13	5
6	Baylor	B12	10-1	0.796	0.839	0.829	0.720	5	1300	5	1243	8.33	9	7	13	5	8	8
7	Arizona	P12	10-2	0.687	0.677	0.685	0.700	8	1050	8	1027	10.50	6	11	6	10	23	7
8	Mississippi St	SEC	10-2	0.680	0.632	0.629	0.780	10	979	10	944	6.33	8	6	8	6	4	6
9	Michigan St	B10	10-2	0.674	0.733	0.699	0.590	7	1136	7	1048	11.50	16	8	14	9	10	12
10	Kansas St	B12	9-2	0.641	0.669	0.663	0.590	9	1037	9	995	11.83	10	12	16	11	12	10
11	Mississippi	SEC	9-3	0.553	0.457	0.502	0.700	14	709	13	753	8.33	11	14	7	7	2	9
12	Wisconsin	B10	10-2	0.544	0.616	0.607	0.410	11	955	11	910	15.33	15	10	15	19	15	18
13	Georgia Tech	ACC	10-2	0.533	0.559	0.549	0.490	12	867	12	823	13.83	12	13	10	16	18	14
14	Missouri	SEC	10-2	0.504	0.529	0.493	0.490	13	820	14	740	13.33	13	9	12	15	16	15
15	Georgia	SEC	9-3	0.398	0.381	0.404	0.410	15	590	15	606	14.67	18	15	18	12	6	19
16	UCLA	P12	9-3	0.395	0.334	0.341	0.510	17	517	16	512	13.33	7	19	9	14	20	11
17	Oklahoma	B12	8-3	0.310	0.375	0.323	0.230	16	582	18	485	18.67	21	22	21	17	9	22
18	Arizona St	P12	9-3	0.308	0.314	0.330	0.280	18	486	17	495	19.00	14	16	19	20	24	21
19	Auburn	SEC	8-4	0.304	0.233	0.239	0.440	21	361	20	358	14.33	19	17	17	13	7	13
20	Clemson	ACC	9-3	0.254	0.283	0.279	0.200	19	439	19	418	21.00	22	20	20	22	25	17
21	Louisville	ACC	9-3	0.179	0.255	0.231	0.050	20	395	21	346	25.17	24	27	23	25	29	23
22	Boise St	MWC	10-2	0.157	0.163	0.177	0.130	22	253	22	265	22.50	20	23	11	32	33	16
23	LSU	SEC	8-4	0.131	0.056	0.097	0.240	24	87	23	145	19.50	26	18	24	18	11	20
24	Nebraska	B10	9-3	0.053	0.107	0.043	0.010	23	166	25	64	25.50	25	25	22	28	26	27
25	USC	P12	8-4	0.040	0.000	0.000	0.120					22.83	17	28	27	21	19	25
26	Utah	P12	8-4	0.028	0.000	0.053	0.030			24	79	25.50	23	21	28	26	31	24
27	Texas A&M	SEC	7-5	-0.037	0.000	0.000	-0.110					28.17	33	30	30	27	21	28
28	Marshall	CUSA	11-1	-0.043	0.000	0.000	-0.130					30.00	28	24	25	39	32	32
29	Stanford	P12	7-5	-0.050	0.000	0.000	-0.150					30.17	30	29	38	24	27	33
30	Minnesota	B10	8-4	-0.055	0.055	0.000	-0.220	25	86			31.50	29	33	29	34	34	30
31	Arkansas	SEC	6-6	-0.063	0.000	0.000	-0.190					30.83	34	48	35	23	14	31
32	Colorado St	MWC	10-2	-0.073	0.000	0.000	-0.220					33.00	27	32	26	41	46	26
33	West Virginia	B12	7-5	-0.080	0.000	0.000	-0.240					33.50	32	45	37	30	28	29
34	Notre Dame	FBSI	7-5	-0.117	0.000	0.000	-0.350					34.67	31	35	34	38	35	35
35	Florida	SEC	6-5	-0.123	0.000	0.000	-0.370					35.83	37	52	41	29	22	34
36	Duke	ACC	9-3	-0.137	0.000	0.000	-0.410					36.67	35	34	32	37	43	39
37	Washington	P12	8-5	-0.160	0.000	0.000	-0.480					37.83	36	40	44	31	38	38
38	Memphis	AAC	9-3	-0.207	0.000	0.000	-0.620					42.00	50	37	36	48	41	40
39	Texas	B12	6-6	-0.207	0.000	0.000	-0.620					42.33	41	43	53	35	37	45
40	Tennessee	SEC	6-6	-0.223	0.000	0.000	-0.670					41.67	42	49	49	33	30	47
41	Boston College	ACC	7-5	-0.223	0.000	0.000	-0.670					42.83	40	46	46	40	42	43
42	N Illinois	MAC	10-2	-0.233	0.000	0.000	-0.700					45.33	44	26	31	63	72	36
43	Maryland	B10	7-5	-0.240	0.000	0.000	-0.720					44.83	39	54	45	44	45	42
44	Air Force	MWC	9-3	-0.260	0.000	0.000	-0.780					47.67	45	31	33	67	73	37
45	BYU	FBSI	8-4	-0.267	0.000	0.000	-0.800					45.83	48	42	43	45	48	49
46	NC State	ACC	7-5	-0.267	0.000	0.000	-0.800					46.67	43	47	40	50	56	44
47	Cincinnati	AAC	8-3	-0.270	0.000	0.000	-0.810					46.00	47	38	39	51	53	48
48	South Carolina	SEC	6-6	-0.273	0.000	0.000	-0.820					46.50	49	50	57	36	36	51
49	Miami FL	ACC	6-6	-0.283	0.000	0.000	-0.850					49.33	46	68	51	42	39	50
50	Utah St	MWC	9-4	-0.290	0.000	0.000	-0.870					46.83	51	36	42	52	54	46
51	Rutgers	B10	7-5	-0.303	0.000	0.000	-0.910					49.67	38	51	48	55	65	41
52	Iowa	B10	7-5	-0.347	0.000	0.000	-1.040					50.67	54	55	56	43	40	56
53	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	8-4	-0.377	0.000	0.000	-1.130					56.17	52	73	47	66	47	52
54	North Carolina	ACC	6-6	-0.383	0.000	0.000	-1.150					54.83	53	63	55	47	58	53
55	UCF	AAC	8-3	-0.413	0.000	0.000	-1.240					55.17	62	39	50	64	57	59
56	East Carolina	AAC	8-3	-0.413	0.000	0.000	-1.240					55.00	61	41	52	61	60	55
57	Virginia Tech	ACC	6-6	-0.413	0.000	0.000	-1.240					56.67	57	66	62	46	49	60
58	California	P12	5-7	-0.427	0.000	0.000	-1.280					58.67	56	61	71	49	51	64
59	Ga Southern	SBC	9-3	-0.430	0.000	0.000	-1.290					58.00	58	44	54	71	64	57
60	Oklahoma St	B12	5-6	-0.460	0.000	0.000	-1.380					61.17	59	60	68	57	61	62
61	Illinois	B10	6-6	-0.463	0.000	0.000	-1.390					60.83	55	65	61	59	67	58
62	Virginia	ACC	5-7	-0.473	0.000	0.000	-1.420					60.83	63	69	67	53	50	63
63	Nevada	MWC	7-5	-0.490	0.000	0.000	-1.470					62.67	60	71	59	69	63	54
64	Michigan	B10	5-7	-0.510	0.000	0.000	-1.530					64.50	65	57	73	62	62	68
65	Pittsburgh	ACC	6-6	-0.520	0.000	0.000	-1.560					64.17	70	64	72	54	52	73
66	Penn St	B10	6-6	-0.523	0.000	0.000	-1.570					65.83	64	79	66	65	55	66
67	Kentucky	SEC	5-7	-0.533	0.000	0.000	-1.600					64.00	68	70	76	56	44	70
68	Toledo	MAC	8-4	-0.547	0.000	0.000	-1.640					67.17	72	62	58	73	77	61
69	Northwestern	B10	5-7	-0.550	0.000	0.000	-1.650					67.33	71	67	77	58	59	72
70	Navy	FBSI	6-5	-0.570	0.000	0.000	-1.710					69.00	67	75	64	72	71	65
71	W Kentucky	CUSA	7-5	-0.600	0.000	0.000	-1.800					70.83	69	78	63	74	74	67
72	ULL	SBC	8-4	-0.600	0.000	0.000	-1.800					70.83	75	58	60	80	83	69
73	Oregon St	P12	5-7	-0.607	0.000	0.000	-1.820					71.17	66	74	81	60	70	76
74	San Diego St	MWC	7-5	-0.630	0.000	0.000	-1.890					71.33	79	56	75	75	69	74
75	Rice	CUSA	7-5	-0.640	0.000	0.000	-1.920					73.33	73	76	65	76	79	71
76	W Michigan	MAC	8-4	-0.657	0.000	0.000	-1.970					72.33	80	53	69	79	76	77
77	Texas Tech	B12	4-8	-0.683	0.000	0.000	-2.050					77.00	77	85	87	68	66	79
78	Fresno St	MWC	6-6	-0.687	0.000	0.000	-2.060					78.00	76	72	79	77	86	78
79	Houston	AAC	7-4	-0.693	0.000	0.000	-2.080					75.50	82	59	74	78	78	82
80	Washington St	P12	3-9	-0.723	0.000	0.000	-2.170					80.33	78	93	92	70	68	81
81	UTEP	CUSA	7-5	-0.727	0.000	0.000	-2.180					80.00	74	88	70	85	88	75
82	Indiana	B10	4-8	-0.773	0.000	0.000	-2.320					84.50	86	80	91	81	82	87
83	Arkansas St	SBC	7-5	-0.777	0.000	0.000	-2.330					83.50	88	82	82	89	75	85
84	UAB	CUSA	6-6	-0.783	0.000	0.000	-2.350					85.33	83	87	84	90	84	84
85	MTSU	CUSA	6-6	-0.793	0.000	0.000	-2.380					85.67	81	89	78	94	92	80
86	Bowling Green	MAC	7-5	-0.810	0.000	0.000	-2.430					87.17	84	84	80	93	96	86
87	C Michigan	MAC	7-5	-0.833	0.000	0.000	-2.500					88.50	87	94	83	88	91	88
88	Temple	AAC	5-6	-0.840	0.000	0.000	-2.520					89.17	96	83	89	91	87	89
89	Old Dominion	CUSA	6-6	-0.847	0.000	0.000	-2.540					90.17	85	92	85	96	100	83
90	Syracuse	ACC	3-9	-0.857	0.000	0.000	-2.570					90.00	91	90	95	84	89	91
91	Appalachian St	SBC	7-5	-0.887	0.000	0.000	-2.660					91.83	100	81	90	95	90	95
92	Texas St	SBC	7-5	-0.887	0.000	0.000	-2.660					91.17	97	77	86	100	95	92
93	South Alabama	SBC	6-6	-0.890	0.000	0.000	-2.670					92.67	95	86	88	99	98	90
94	Colorado	P12	2-10	-0.897	0.000	0.000	-2.690					94.00	90	110	101	82	81	100
95	Kansas	B12	3-9	-0.897	0.000	0.000	-2.690					93.00	89	99	97	86	93	94
96	Purdue	B10	3-9	-0.900	0.000	0.000	-2.700					93.00	94	96	99	87	85	97
97	Wyoming	MWC	4-8	-0.930	0.000	0.000	-2.790					96.00	92	97	94	101	99	93
98	Iowa St	B12	2-9	-0.943	0.000	0.000	-2.830					96.33	102	104	111	83	80	98
99	Vanderbilt	SEC	3-9	-0.950	0.000	0.000	-2.850					98.33	93	109	98	92	97	101
100	New Mexico	MWC	4-8	-0.957	0.000	0.000	-2.870					98.00	98	95	96	102	101	96
101	Ohio	MAC	6-6	-0.980	0.000	0.000	-2.940					99.50	101	91	93	105	108	99
102	Hawaii	MWC	4-9	-1.010	0.000	0.000	-3.030					101.67	105	101	109	98	94	103
103	Wake Forest	ACC	3-9	-1.023	0.000	0.000	-3.070					102.33	99	106	103	97	105	104
104	UT San Antonio	CUSA	4-8	-1.030	0.000	0.000	-3.090					104.00	103	102	102	106	109	102
105	Ball St	MAC	5-7	-1.040	0.000	0.000	-3.120					104.00	110	98	104	103	102	107
106	Tulane	AAC	3-8	-1.067	0.000	0.000	-3.200					106.67	107	112	105	104	107	105
107	South Florida	AAC	4-8	-1.077	0.000	0.000	-3.230					106.83	104	107	100	110	114	106
108	San Jose St	MWC	3-9	-1.090	0.000	0.000	-3.270					107.67	108	103	112	109	106	108
109	ULM	SBC	4-8	-1.097	0.000	0.000	-3.290					108.17	112	105	110	107	104	111
110	Florida Intl	CUSA	4-8	-1.103	0.000	0.000	-3.310					108.17	109	111	108	108	103	110
111	Southern Miss	CUSA	3-9	-1.130	0.000	0.000	-3.390					110.83	106	116	106	115	113	109
112	Buffalo	MAC	5-6	-1.137	0.000	0.000	-3.410					110.17	114	100	107	112	112	116
113	Akron	MAC	5-7	-1.153	0.000	0.000	-3.460					112.50	113	113	113	111	111	114
114	FL Atlantic	CUSA	3-9	-1.157	0.000	0.000	-3.470					112.67	111	115	114	114	110	112
115	Army	FBSI	4-7	-1.190	0.000	0.000	-3.570					115.67	116	120	115	113	117	113
116	North Texas	CUSA	4-8	-1.190	0.000	0.000	-3.570					114.33	115	108	116	117	115	115
117	Massachusetts	MAC	3-9	-1.227	0.000	0.000	-3.680					118.17	120	114	123	116	116	120
118	UNLV	MWC	2-11	-1.230	0.000	0.000	-3.690					118.33	117	118	118	119	120	118
119	Connecticut	AAC	2-9	-1.233	0.000	0.000	-3.700					119.00	118	121	117	118	123	117
120	Tulsa	AAC	2-10	-1.240	0.000	0.000	-3.720					119.17	119	117	119	122	119	119
121	Kent	MAC	2-9	-1.270	0.000	0.000	-3.810					121.33	121	123	121	120	122	121
122	Troy	SBC	3-9	-1.287	0.000	0.000	-3.860					122.50	122	125	120	121	124	123
123	Miami OH	MAC	2-10	-1.297	0.000	0.000	-3.890					122.50	124	122	124	123	118	124
124	E Michigan	MAC	2-10	-1.303	0.000	0.000	-3.910					124.00	123	124	122	126	127	122
125	New Mexico St	SBC	2-10	-1.330	0.000	0.000	-3.990					125.83	127	127	126	125	125	125
126	Idaho	SBC	1-10	-1.333	0.000	0.000	-4.000					125.50	128	126	128	124	121	126
127	SMU	AAC	0-11	-1.337	0.000	0.000	-4.010					125.33	126	119	125	127	128	127
128	Georgia St	SBC	1-11	-1.350	0.000	0.000	-4.050					127.00	125	128	127	128	126	128